Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.The Polish minister said that Poland hopes that more countries will participate in Baltic policing, the EU must spend at least 100 billion euros on national defense, and the conditions for sending Polish MIG -29 fighters to Ukraine have not been met.Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Party Committee of China Securities Regulatory Commission decided that Comrade Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. Comrade Wang Fenghai no longer serves as deputy secretary and general manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. (website of last issue)
Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.London Metal Exchange (LME): aluminum stocks decreased by 2,500 tons, copper stocks decreased by 75 tons, nickel stocks decreased by 2,862 tons, lead stocks decreased by 2,250 tons, tin stocks were flat, and zinc stocks decreased by 1,300 tons.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: We will continue to monitor inflationary pressure and adjust monetary policy to maintain price stability if necessary. Without today's interest rate cut, inflation expectations would be lower. The uncertainty of the future inflation path is still high. The medium-term inflationary pressure has dropped significantly.
Foreign media: The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" reported on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. The report quoted local media as saying that last week, the police carried out raids in various parts of Italy, arrested 12 people suspected of participating in the far-right organization, and seized a batch of knives, military clothing and propaganda materials. The organization originally called itself "Wolf Division" and later renamed it "New Dawn Division". The police said that some suspects arrested called meloni a "fascist who persecuted fascists" and had planned to assassinate her since 2023. (Global Times)Kremlin spokesman: (Asked if Putin has been invited to attend Trump's inauguration ceremony) No invitation has been received.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14